Cruzeiro PB vs Femar FC

01 Oct 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Cruzeiro PB

Femar FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 89.1% DRAW 8.0% AWAY 2.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 88.5% 1.07 DRAW 8.6% 11.00 AWAY 2.9% 33.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Cruzeiro PB

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cruzeiro PB Femar FC

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0 Shots 3.0 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cruzeiro PB Femar FC

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 0.3 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Cruzeiro PB has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cruzeiro PB Femar FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Cruzeiro PB.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cruzeiro PB ↑ +0.07 (+4.8%)

Femar FC ↑ +0.20 (+2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.