Ponte Preta AL U20 vs Sporting FC Teotonio U20

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.5 pp

Ponte Preta AL U20

Sporting FC Teotonio U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.4% DRAW 21.5% AWAY 51.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.5% 3.13 DRAW 22.8% 4.17 AWAY 46.7% 2.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Sporting FC Teotonio U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.2% win probability, compared with 46.7% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Sporting FC Teotonio U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ponte Preta AL U20 Sporting FC Teotonio U20

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 13.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Sporting FC Teotonio U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ponte Preta AL U20 Sporting FC Teotonio U20

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Sporting FC Teotonio U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ponte Preta AL U20 Sporting FC Teotonio U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Sporting FC Teotonio U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ponte Preta AL U20 ↑ +0.13 (+4.2%)

Sporting FC Teotonio U20 ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.