MEG vs Kodagu FC

30 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

MEG

Kodagu FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.0% DRAW 22.5% AWAY 42.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.2% 2.96 DRAW 23.2% 4.11 AWAY 44.6% 2.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for MEG relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.0% win probability, compared with 32.2% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

MEG has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

MEG Kodagu FC

Shots 10.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours MEG, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MEG Kodagu FC

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MEG Kodagu FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

MEG ↑ +0.06 (+2.2%)

Kodagu FC ↑ +0.19 (+9.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.