Southern Utd FC vs Marist FC

30 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +7.5 pp

Southern Utd FC

Marist FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.9% DRAW 17.9% AWAY 14.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.5% 1.48 DRAW 20.7% 4.33 AWAY 18.8% 4.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Southern Utd FC substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 67.9% win probability, compared with 60.5% implied by the market. The 7.5 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Southern Utd FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Southern Utd FC Marist FC

Shots 26.8 · On target 12.5 Shots 16.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Southern Utd FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Southern Utd FC Marist FC

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 10.5

Southern Utd FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Southern Utd FC Marist FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Southern Utd FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Southern Utd FC = (0.0%)

Marist FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.