CA Claypole Reserves vs Estrella del Sur Reserves

30 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

CA Claypole Reserves

Estrella del Sur Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.4% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 20.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.4% 1.73 DRAW 25.6% 3.60 AWAY 21.0% 4.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CA Claypole Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Claypole Reserves Estrella del Sur Reserves

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Claypole Reserves Estrella del Sur Reserves

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.8

CA Claypole Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Claypole Reserves Estrella del Sur Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA Claypole Reserves = (0.0%)

Estrella del Sur Reserves ↓ -0.10 (-2.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.