Deportivo Merlo Reserves vs Argentino Merlo Reserves

30 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Deportivo Merlo Reserves

Argentino Merlo Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.5% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 21.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.7% 1.78 DRAW 25.1% 3.80 AWAY 21.2% 4.51

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Argentino Merlo Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Merlo Reserves Argentino Merlo Reserves

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Merlo Reserves Argentino Merlo Reserves

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Merlo Reserves Argentino Merlo Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Deportivo Merlo Reserves ↑ +0.21 (+13.2%)

Argentino Merlo Reserves ↓ -0.50 (-9.9%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.