Technico FF vs United Stars

30 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Technico FF

United Stars

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.3% DRAW 19.8% AWAY 53.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.3% 3.77 DRAW 20.7% 4.61 AWAY 54.0% 1.77

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: United Stars

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Technico FF United Stars

Shots 1.3 · On target 0.3 Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours United Stars, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Technico FF United Stars

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Technico FF has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Technico FF United Stars

The combined recent performance profile favours United Stars.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Technico FF ↑ +0.52 (+15.8%)

United Stars ↑ +0.04 (+2.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.