Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves vs Deportivo Muniz Reserves

30 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

Deportivo Muniz Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.9% DRAW 16.7% AWAY 11.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.0% 1.33 DRAW 17.9% 5.20 AWAY 12.0% 7.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves Deportivo Muniz Reserves

Shots 10.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 6.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves Deportivo Muniz Reserves

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves Deportivo Muniz Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Deportivo Paraguayo Reserves = (0.0%)

Deportivo Muniz Reserves ↑ +1.75 (+29.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.