Real Betis vs AD Ceuta FC

01 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Real Betis

AD Ceuta FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.9% DRAW 15.9% AWAY 12.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 72.1% 1.38 DRAW 16.6% 6.01 AWAY 11.4% 8.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Real Betis

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Real Betis AD Ceuta FC

Shots 19.8 · On target 7.3 Shots 18.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Real Betis AD Ceuta FC

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8

AD Ceuta FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Real Betis AD Ceuta FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Real Betis ↓ -0.01 (-0.7%)

AD Ceuta FC ↑ +3.24 (+58.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.