CD FAS (W) vs AD Isidro Metapan (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

CD FAS (W)

AD Isidro Metapan (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 92.3% DRAW 6.8% AWAY 0.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 91.7% 1.04 DRAW 7.3% 13.00 AWAY 1.0% 100.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CD FAS (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD FAS (W) AD Isidro Metapan (W)

Shots 15.0 · On target 7.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours CD FAS (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD FAS (W) AD Isidro Metapan (W)

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.8

CD FAS (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD FAS (W) AD Isidro Metapan (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours CD FAS (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

CD FAS (W) ↑ +0.02 (+2.0%)

AD Isidro Metapan (W) ↑ +66.00 (+194.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.