Olimpija Ljubljana vs Slaven Belupo

01 Oct 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Olimpija Ljubljana

Slaven Belupo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 35.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.2% 2.31 DRAW 24.5% 3.80 AWAY 35.3% 2.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Slaven Belupo

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Olimpija Ljubljana Slaven Belupo

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Olimpija Ljubljana Slaven Belupo

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Olimpija Ljubljana Slaven Belupo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Olimpija Ljubljana ↑ +0.04 (+1.7%)

Slaven Belupo ↓ -0.04 (-1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.