Jahn Regensburg vs WSG Swarovski Tirol

01 Oct 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Jahn Regensburg

WSG Swarovski Tirol

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 39.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.1% 2.44 DRAW 23.3% 3.99 AWAY 38.6% 2.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

WSG Swarovski Tirol has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Jahn Regensburg WSG Swarovski Tirol

Shots 9.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Jahn Regensburg WSG Swarovski Tirol

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Jahn Regensburg WSG Swarovski Tirol

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Jahn Regensburg ↑ +0.14 (+6.2%)

WSG Swarovski Tirol ↑ +0.01 (+0.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.