Panama City FC vs Chorrillo

03 Oct 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

Panama City FC

Chorrillo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.3% DRAW 24.8% AWAY 31.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.6% 2.09 DRAW 25.2% 3.79 AWAY 29.2% 3.27

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Chorrillo relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 31.9% win probability, compared with 29.2% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Chorrillo has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Panama City FC Chorrillo

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 15.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Panama City FC Chorrillo

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.8

Chorrillo has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Panama City FC Chorrillo

The combined recent performance profile favours Chorrillo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Panama City FC = (0.0%)

Chorrillo = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.