USA U20 vs Brazil U20

01 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

USA U20

Brazil U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.5% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 47.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.0% 3.34 DRAW 22.8% 4.25 AWAY 48.2% 2.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Brazil U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

USA U20 Brazil U20

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 12.3 · On target 8.3

Recent attacking output favours Brazil U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

USA U20 Brazil U20

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.3

USA U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

USA U20 Brazil U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

USA U20 ↓ -1.66 (-33.2%)

Brazil U20 ↑ +0.57 (+39.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.