Uzbekistan vs Syria

01 Oct 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Uzbekistan

Syria

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.9% DRAW 18.6% AWAY 9.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 72.3% 1.36 DRAW 18.7% 5.26 AWAY 8.9% 11.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Uzbekistan

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Uzbekistan Syria

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 2.8 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Uzbekistan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Uzbekistan Syria

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Syria has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Uzbekistan Syria

The combined recent performance profile favours Uzbekistan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Uzbekistan ↑ +0.09 (+7.1%)

Syria ↑ +1.50 (+15.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.