FC Arges Pitesti vs CSM Deva

30 Sep 2026 · 09:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

FC Arges Pitesti

CSM Deva

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.8% DRAW 16.3% AWAY 8.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.3% 1.20 DRAW 16.4% 5.50 AWAY 8.2% 11.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Arges Pitesti

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Arges Pitesti CSM Deva

Shots 13.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 4.3 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Arges Pitesti, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Arges Pitesti CSM Deva

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.3

CSM Deva has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Arges Pitesti CSM Deva

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Arges Pitesti = (0.0%)

CSM Deva = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.