Sderot vs Hapoel Azor

01 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Sderot

Hapoel Azor

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.2% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 26.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.8% 2.00 DRAW 27.6% 3.25 AWAY 27.6% 3.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Azor

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sderot Hapoel Azor

Shots 4.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Azor, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sderot Hapoel Azor

Shots allowed 1.5 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Sderot has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sderot Hapoel Azor

The combined recent performance profile favours Sderot.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sderot = (0.0%)

Hapoel Azor = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.