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Israel Liga Bet South · IL

AS Holon Mor vs MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

01 Oct 2026 · 19:30
NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp
AS Holon Mor
MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim
HOME 30.5% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 45.5%
HOME 31.2% 3.05 DRAW 24.8% 3.85 AWAY 44.0% 2.17

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
AS Holon Mor MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim
Shots 2.8 · On target 1.3 Shots 15.3 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
AS Holon Mor MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim
Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 6.5

AS Holon Mor has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
AS Holon Mor MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

AS Holon Mor ↑ +0.55 (+22.0%)
MS Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim ↓ -0.21 (-8.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.