Ironi Beit Dagan vs Hapoel Hod Hasharon

01 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.6 pp

Ironi Beit Dagan

Hapoel Hod Hasharon

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 28.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.3% 2.20 DRAW 24.9% 3.83 AWAY 31.8% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Ironi Beit Dagan clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.9% win probability, compared with 43.3% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Ironi Beit Dagan

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ironi Beit Dagan Hapoel Hod Hasharon

Shots 14.0 · On target 7.0 Shots 14.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Ironi Beit Dagan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ironi Beit Dagan Hapoel Hod Hasharon

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Ironi Beit Dagan has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ironi Beit Dagan Hapoel Hod Hasharon

The combined recent performance profile favours Ironi Beit Dagan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ironi Beit Dagan ↑ +0.10 (+4.8%)

Hapoel Hod Hasharon ↑ +0.20 (+7.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.