Rumphi Sisters (W) vs Kukoma Ntopwa (W)

01 Oct 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Rumphi Sisters (W)

Kukoma Ntopwa (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.6% DRAW 20.1% AWAY 61.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.9% 5.00 DRAW 20.6% 4.33 AWAY 61.6% 1.45

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Kukoma Ntopwa (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rumphi Sisters (W) Kukoma Ntopwa (W)

Shots 1.3 · On target 1.0 Shots 2.3 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours Rumphi Sisters (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rumphi Sisters (W) Kukoma Ntopwa (W)

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 0.5

Kukoma Ntopwa (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rumphi Sisters (W) Kukoma Ntopwa (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Kukoma Ntopwa (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Rumphi Sisters (W) ↓ -0.25 (-4.8%)

Kukoma Ntopwa (W) ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.