Mighty Wanderers (W) vs Ascent Academy (W)

01 Oct 2026 · 14:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Mighty Wanderers (W)

Ascent Academy (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.1% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 45.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.2% 3.27 DRAW 25.2% 3.79 AWAY 45.6% 2.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ascent Academy (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mighty Wanderers (W) Ascent Academy (W)

Shots 5.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 5.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mighty Wanderers (W) Ascent Academy (W)

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mighty Wanderers (W) Ascent Academy (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Mighty Wanderers (W) ↑ +0.17 (+5.3%)

Ascent Academy (W) ↑ +0.09 (+4.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.