Sarpsborg FK U19 vs Klofta U19

01 Oct 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.5 pp

Sarpsborg FK U19

Klofta U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.8% DRAW 16.1% AWAY 19.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.7% 1.36 DRAW 16.8% 5.42 AWAY 16.5% 5.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Klofta U19 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 19.0% win probability, compared with 16.5% implied by the market. The 2.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sarpsborg FK U19

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sarpsborg FK U19 Klofta U19

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 0.3 · On target 0.3

Recent attacking output favours Sarpsborg FK U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sarpsborg FK U19 Klofta U19

Shots allowed 15.0 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 1.5

Klofta U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sarpsborg FK U19 Klofta U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Sarpsborg FK U19 ↓ -0.14 (-9.1%)

Klofta U19 ↑ +1.50 (+37.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.