England U19 vs USA U19

02 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

England U19

USA U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.7% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 22.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.7% 1.72 DRAW 21.8% 4.33 AWAY 23.6% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: England U19

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

England U19 USA U19

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 3.5 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours England U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

England U19 USA U19

Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 0.8 · On target allowed 0.3

USA U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

England U19 USA U19

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

England U19 ↑ +0.20 (+12.8%)

USA U19 ↓ -0.33 (-7.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.