Wolfsburg vs TSV Havelse

01 Oct 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Wolfsburg

TSV Havelse

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 81.7% DRAW 11.4% AWAY 7.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 79.4% 1.20 DRAW 12.9% 7.38 AWAY 7.7% 12.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Wolfsburg

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Wolfsburg TSV Havelse

Shots 19.5 · On target 7.0 Shots 4.8 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Wolfsburg, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Wolfsburg TSV Havelse

Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.5

TSV Havelse has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Wolfsburg TSV Havelse

The combined recent performance profile favours Wolfsburg.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Wolfsburg = (0.0%)

TSV Havelse ↑ +3.90 (+45.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.