FC Real Bengaluru vs FC Agniputhra

01 Oct 2026 · 07:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

FC Real Bengaluru

FC Agniputhra

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.5% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 44.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.9% 3.20 DRAW 22.3% 4.29 AWAY 47.8% 2.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Real Bengaluru relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.5% win probability, compared with 29.9% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Real Bengaluru

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Real Bengaluru FC Agniputhra

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours FC Real Bengaluru, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Real Bengaluru FC Agniputhra

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Real Bengaluru FC Agniputhra

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Real Bengaluru ↓ -1.30 (-28.9%)

FC Agniputhra ↑ +0.50 (+33.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.