Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Maccabi Herzliya

01 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.1 pp

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Maccabi Herzliya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.9% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 19.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.7% 1.48 DRAW 23.0% 3.90 AWAY 16.3% 5.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Maccabi Herzliya relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 19.4% win probability, compared with 16.3% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Maccabi Herzliya has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Maccabi Herzliya

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Maccabi Herzliya, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Maccabi Herzliya

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Maccabi Herzliya has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Maccabi Herzliya

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Herzliya.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod ↓ -0.07 (-4.5%)

Maccabi Herzliya ↑ +0.75 (+15.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.