Khovd Western vs Deren FC

01 Oct 2026 · 07:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Khovd Western

Deren FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 5.8% DRAW 9.5% AWAY 84.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 5.1% 18.50 DRAW 9.7% 9.75 AWAY 85.2% 1.11

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Khovd Western

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Khovd Western Deren FC

Shots 16.0 · On target 7.8 Shots 12.3 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Khovd Western, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Khovd Western Deren FC

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Deren FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Khovd Western Deren FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Khovd Western ↑ +5.50 (+42.3%)

Deren FC = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.