Bangor Reserves vs Glentoran Reserves

30 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.8 pp

Bangor Reserves

Glentoran Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.1% DRAW 15.0% AWAY 69.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.0% 5.60 DRAW 16.9% 5.66 AWAY 66.1% 1.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Glentoran Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.9% win probability, compared with 66.1% implied by the market. The 3.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Glentoran Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bangor Reserves Glentoran Reserves

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Glentoran Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bangor Reserves Glentoran Reserves

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Glentoran Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bangor Reserves Glentoran Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Glentoran Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Bangor Reserves ↑ +1.40 (+33.3%)

Glentoran Reserves = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.