FC Panama Norte (W) vs Santa Fe FC (W)

30 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.5 pp

FC Panama Norte (W)

Santa Fe FC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 36.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.5% 2.47 DRAW 23.1% 4.12 AWAY 38.5% 2.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Panama Norte (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.0% win probability, compared with 38.5% implied by the market. The 3.5 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Panama Norte (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Panama Norte (W) Santa Fe FC (W)

Shots 6.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 4.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Panama Norte (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Panama Norte (W) Santa Fe FC (W)

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 8.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Panama Norte (W) Santa Fe FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Panama Norte (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Panama Norte (W) ↑ +0.07 (+2.9%)

Santa Fe FC (W) ↑ +0.07 (+2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.