Drogheda United U20 vs Shamrock Rovers U20

30 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

Drogheda United U20

Shamrock Rovers U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.6% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 41.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.5% 2.41 DRAW 22.5% 4.22 AWAY 38.0% 2.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Shamrock Rovers U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.0% win probability, compared with 38.0% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Shamrock Rovers U20

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Drogheda United U20 Shamrock Rovers U20

Shots 7.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Drogheda United U20 Shamrock Rovers U20

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Shamrock Rovers U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Drogheda United U20 Shamrock Rovers U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Shamrock Rovers U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Drogheda United U20 ↑ +0.16 (+6.9%)

Shamrock Rovers U20 = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.