Murici U20 vs Paulo Jacinto U20

01 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Murici U20

Paulo Jacinto U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.7% DRAW 18.5% AWAY 13.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.6% 1.40 DRAW 18.8% 5.11 AWAY 12.6% 7.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Paulo Jacinto U20

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Murici U20 Paulo Jacinto U20

Shots 1.3 · On target 0.0 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Paulo Jacinto U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Murici U20 Paulo Jacinto U20

Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Murici U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Murici U20 Paulo Jacinto U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Paulo Jacinto U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Murici U20 = (0.0%)

Paulo Jacinto U20 ↑ +1.85 (+32.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.