Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Plaza Amador Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.5% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 40.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% 2.90 DRAW 26.4% 3.40 AWAY 42.7% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Sporting San Miguelito Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 33.5% win probability, compared with 30.9% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Plaza Amador Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Plaza Amador Reserves

Shots 14.0 · On target 6.3 Shots 14.5 · On target 10.3

Recent attacking output favours Plaza Amador Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Plaza Amador Reserves

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 9.0

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Plaza Amador Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves = (0.0%)

Plaza Amador Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.