China U23 vs Uzbekistan U23

03 Oct 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

China U23

Uzbekistan U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.8% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 57.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.4% 5.01 DRAW 24.3% 3.99 AWAY 56.3% 1.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Uzbekistan U23 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

China U23 Uzbekistan U23

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 13.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Uzbekistan U23, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

China U23 Uzbekistan U23

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

China U23 Uzbekistan U23

The combined recent performance profile favours Uzbekistan U23.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

China U23 ↑ +0.81 (+19.3%)

Uzbekistan U23 ↑ +0.06 (+3.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.