JJ Urquiza Reserves vs CA Atlas Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.9 pp

JJ Urquiza Reserves

CA Atlas Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.1% DRAW 21.0% AWAY 19.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.2% 1.76 DRAW 22.7% 4.20 AWAY 23.1% 4.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates JJ Urquiza Reserves clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.1% win probability, compared with 54.2% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

JJ Urquiza Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

JJ Urquiza Reserves CA Atlas Reserves

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours JJ Urquiza Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JJ Urquiza Reserves CA Atlas Reserves

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.0

JJ Urquiza Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JJ Urquiza Reserves CA Atlas Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours JJ Urquiza Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

JJ Urquiza Reserves ↓ -0.32 (-15.4%)

CA Atlas Reserves ↓ -0.63 (-13.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.