Villa San Carlos Reserves vs UAI Urquiza Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Villa San Carlos Reserves

UAI Urquiza Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.5% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 38.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.5% 2.45 DRAW 27.5% 3.25 AWAY 36.0% 2.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: UAI Urquiza Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Villa San Carlos Reserves UAI Urquiza Reserves

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours UAI Urquiza Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Villa San Carlos Reserves UAI Urquiza Reserves

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Villa San Carlos Reserves UAI Urquiza Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours UAI Urquiza Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Villa San Carlos Reserves = (0.0%)

UAI Urquiza Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.