Quilmes Reserves vs Deportivo Armenio Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Quilmes Reserves

Deportivo Armenio Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 30.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.3% 2.55 DRAW 28.0% 3.58 AWAY 32.7% 3.07

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Quilmes Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 41.9% win probability, compared with 39.3% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Quilmes Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Quilmes Reserves Deportivo Armenio Reserves

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Quilmes Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Quilmes Reserves Deportivo Armenio Reserves

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Quilmes Reserves Deportivo Armenio Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Quilmes Reserves = (0.0%)

Deportivo Armenio Reserves ↑ +0.17 (+5.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.