CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves vs Nueva Chicago Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves

Nueva Chicago Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.8% DRAW 29.0% AWAY 32.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.1% 2.49 DRAW 29.0% 3.28 AWAY 32.9% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nueva Chicago Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves Nueva Chicago Reserves

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Nueva Chicago Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves Nueva Chicago Reserves

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.8

CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves Nueva Chicago Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA Estudiantes Caseros Reserves ↑ +0.12 (+5.0%)

Nueva Chicago Reserves ↑ +0.13 (+4.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.