Almirante Brown Reserves vs Chacarita Juniors Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Almirante Brown Reserves

Chacarita Juniors Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.8% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 51.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.0% 4.77 DRAW 26.0% 3.67 AWAY 54.0% 1.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Almirante Brown Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Almirante Brown Reserves Chacarita Juniors Reserves

Shots 5.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 4.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Almirante Brown Reserves Chacarita Juniors Reserves

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Almirante Brown Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Almirante Brown Reserves Chacarita Juniors Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Almirante Brown Reserves ↑ +0.07 (+1.4%)

Chacarita Juniors Reserves ↑ +0.16 (+10.2%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.