Los Andes Reserves vs CD Moron Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Los Andes Reserves

CD Moron Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.4% DRAW 26.1% AWAY 36.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.3% 2.42 DRAW 26.5% 3.58 AWAY 34.2% 2.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: CD Moron Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Los Andes Reserves CD Moron Reserves

Shots 4.8 · On target 2.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Los Andes Reserves CD Moron Reserves

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 1.5

CD Moron Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Los Andes Reserves CD Moron Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours CD Moron Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Los Andes Reserves ↑ +0.12 (+5.1%)

CD Moron Reserves ↑ +0.03 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.