CA Colegiales Reserves vs Tristan Suarez Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.7 pp

CA Colegiales Reserves

Tristan Suarez Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 5.0% DRAW 12.7% AWAY 82.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 6.2% 17.00 DRAW 14.3% 7.33 AWAY 79.5% 1.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Tristan Suarez Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 82.2% win probability, compared with 79.5% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Tristan Suarez Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Colegiales Reserves Tristan Suarez Reserves

Shots 6.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Tristan Suarez Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Colegiales Reserves Tristan Suarez Reserves

Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 8.8 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Tristan Suarez Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Colegiales Reserves Tristan Suarez Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Tristan Suarez Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA Colegiales Reserves ↑ +7.00 (+70.0%)

Tristan Suarez Reserves ↓ -0.06 (-4.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.