Fenix Reserves vs Sportivo Barracas Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Fenix Reserves

Sportivo Barracas Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 4.7% DRAW 10.9% AWAY 84.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 4.2% 22.00 DRAW 10.9% 8.50 AWAY 84.9% 1.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fenix Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fenix Reserves Sportivo Barracas Reserves

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fenix Reserves Sportivo Barracas Reserves

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Sportivo Barracas Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fenix Reserves Sportivo Barracas Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fenix Reserves ↑ +11.00 (+100.0%)

Sportivo Barracas Reserves ↓ -0.04 (-3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.