Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves vs Sacachispas Reserves

01 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves

Sacachispas Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.5% DRAW 23.3% AWAY 21.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% 1.85 DRAW 24.3% 4.05 AWAY 22.6% 4.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sacachispas Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves Sacachispas Reserves

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.8 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Sacachispas Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves Sacachispas Reserves

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves Sacachispas Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Defensores de Cambaceres Reserves = (0.0%)

Sacachispas Reserves ↑ +0.75 (+20.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.