Fluminense U20 (W) vs Botafogo U20 (W)

01 Oct 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Fluminense U20 (W)

Botafogo U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 25.7% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 51.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.4% 3.62 DRAW 23.3% 4.10 AWAY 50.3% 1.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Botafogo U20 (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fluminense U20 (W) Botafogo U20 (W)

Shots 21.0 · On target 8.5 Shots 24.3 · On target 14.3

Recent attacking output favours Botafogo U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fluminense U20 (W) Botafogo U20 (W)

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fluminense U20 (W) Botafogo U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fluminense U20 (W) ↑ +0.12 (+3.4%)

Botafogo U20 (W) ↑ +0.06 (+3.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.