San Lorenzo (W) vs Huracan (W)

02 Oct 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

San Lorenzo (W)

Huracan (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 72.7% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 8.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 70.8% 1.38 DRAW 19.9% 4.92 AWAY 9.3% 10.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: San Lorenzo (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Lorenzo (W) Huracan (W)

Shots 13.0 · On target 7.3 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours San Lorenzo (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Lorenzo (W) Huracan (W)

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Lorenzo (W) Huracan (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours San Lorenzo (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Lorenzo (W) ↑ +0.08 (+6.2%)

Huracan (W) ↑ +2.50 (+31.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.