Ferro Carril Oeste (W) vs Union Santa Fe (W)

02 Oct 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

Union Santa Fe (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.2% DRAW 21.1% AWAY 14.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.7% 1.57 DRAW 21.3% 4.77 AWAY 13.9% 7.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ferro Carril Oeste (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Union Santa Fe (W)

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Union Santa Fe (W)

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Union Santa Fe (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Union Santa Fe (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ferro Carril Oeste (W) ↑ +0.09 (+6.1%)

Union Santa Fe (W) ↑ +1.80 (+32.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.