Racing Club (W) vs Belgrano (W)

02 Oct 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Racing Club (W)

Belgrano (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.6% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 21.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% 2.00 DRAW 27.9% 3.50 AWAY 23.2% 4.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Racing Club (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Racing Club (W) Belgrano (W)

Shots 12.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Racing Club (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Racing Club (W) Belgrano (W)

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Racing Club (W) Belgrano (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Racing Club (W) = (0.0%)

Belgrano (W) ↑ +0.73 (+20.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.