Douglas Hall vs Castleview FC

02 Oct 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Douglas Hall

Castleview FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 62.8% DRAW 18.7% AWAY 18.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.2% 1.67 DRAW 20.2% 4.97 AWAY 19.7% 5.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Douglas Hall relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 62.8% win probability, compared with 60.2% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Douglas Hall

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Douglas Hall Castleview FC

Shots 13.0 · On target 7.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Douglas Hall, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Douglas Hall Castleview FC

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 1.8

Castleview FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Douglas Hall Castleview FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Douglas Hall ↓ -0.03 (-2.0%)

Castleview FC ↑ +1.50 (+41.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.