Perth Glory vs Adelaide United

03 Oct 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Perth Glory

Adelaide United

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% DRAW 23.9% AWAY 30.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.4% 2.05 DRAW 24.5% 3.98 AWAY 28.1% 3.46

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Perth Glory

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Perth Glory Adelaide United

Shots 12.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Perth Glory Adelaide United

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Adelaide United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Perth Glory Adelaide United

The combined recent performance profile favours Adelaide United.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Perth Glory ↑ +0.22 (+11.8%)

Adelaide United ↑ +0.21 (+6.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.