Birkirkara (W) vs Hibernians FC (W)

02 Oct 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

Birkirkara (W)

Hibernians FC (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.3% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 34.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.1% 2.22 DRAW 22.8% 4.21 AWAY 34.2% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hibernians FC (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Birkirkara (W) Hibernians FC (W)

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Hibernians FC (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Birkirkara (W) Hibernians FC (W)

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Birkirkara (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Birkirkara (W) Hibernians FC (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Birkirkara (W) ↓ -0.03 (-1.2%)

Hibernians FC (W) ↑ +0.43 (+17.9%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.