Laval vs Rennes

02 Oct 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Laval

Rennes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.5% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 54.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.9% 4.66 DRAW 21.9% 4.45 AWAY 57.1% 1.71

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Laval relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 23.5% win probability, compared with 20.9% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Rennes

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Laval Rennes

Shots 17.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 18.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Laval Rennes

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 5.5

Laval has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Laval Rennes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Laval ↓ -0.35 (-6.9%)

Rennes ↑ +0.21 (+13.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.